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CEO Confidence Index July 2008

Investment Confidence Bottoms

The Chief Executive magazine’s CEO Confidence Index continued its streak of losses in July and fell 2.3 points, reaching its lowest point since 2002, when it started at 100 points. The survey was conducted among 338 top executives surveyed between July 2-11, 2008.

All component indices fell in July as well except for the Employment Confidence Index, which rose by just 2.0 points. Even though this index was in the black, a high level of C-Suite pessimism persists. Over half (52 percent) of CEOs polled said they expected employment to decrease over the next quarter.

Reflecting on the economy and the job market, Mark Renkert, chairman of Fairhaven Crowne, said: “As providers of Executive Search our clients are asking us to find seasoned executives who know how to cut payrolls, spin off divisions, and outsource services.  No one is seeking executives who know how to grow sales.  They are looking for people who know how to make do with soft sales and terminate expensive personnel-that is those with 15+ years of experience who are operations oriented and not part of the revenue generating process.”

The Investment Confidence Index, which measures CEO confidence in domestic investment conditions, hit a new historic low in July. CEOs expect the economy to gradually decline rather than gradually grow by a margin of 3:2. Furthermore, five percent of respondents expect rapid decline, while none expect rapid growth.

“Our respondents have been presciently aware of the difficulties facing the American economy,” said Edward M. Kopko, CEO and Publisher of Chief Executive Magazine. “They have been stressing over and over again the continued need for economic dynamism, because only after companies become profitable can they be relied upon to create new jobs.” 

CEO Index, July 2008
Respondents: 338

 Index

July, 2008

June 2008 

 Monthly Change 

 CEO Index

 82.2

84.5

-2.3

 Current Confidence Index

96.0

99.6

-3.6

 Future Confidence Index

72.9

74.3

-1.4

 Business Condition Index

73.8

81.2

-7.4

 Invest Confidence Index

91.9

93.1

-1.2

 Employment Confidence Index

79.1

77.1

+2.0

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