January 2017: CEO Confidence Increases for Third Straight Month

January 2017 marked the third straight month that CEO confidence rose after a year of record lows.

CEOs’ confidence in future business conditions rose in January as President Trump took office. CEOs rated their confidence in overall business conditions 12 months from now a 7.07 on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being the highest. That’s a 20% increase over October’s 5.90 and 21% higher than 5.85 a year ago (February 2016).

January 2017 12 months out

While the numbers were positive, the comments were mixed. “Now that we finally have someone in the White House who understands business, the economy will start improving,” one CEO said. “If Trump eliminates the excessive regulations put in place by Obama and repeals Obamacare, the economy has a good chance to skyrocket,” another said.

Conversely, one CEO is “Very concerned about protectionism in the new administration. Likely to have multiple negative effects on my business and others like mine.” Another said, “All of our long-term plans that were moving forward in 2016 are now on HOLD! I am terrified that this clown is going to start a trade war with China or do some other stupid act that will put everything we have worked so hard to accomplish down the toilet.”

The smaller the company, the higher the hopes
Confidence waned slightly among large companies (with revenue of $1 billion+). These firms, which are most likely to be global—are concerned about trade deals and immigration with the new administration. Tech firms, in particular, need access to talent in other countries to innovate and maintain their competitive edge. More than 100 CEOs among firms of this size have been in the media recently heavily protesting President Trump’s ban on travel to the U.S. by immigrants who hail from seven specific (and mostly Muslim) countries.

CEO survey respondents of large companies gave a score of 6.60—the lowest of all four size segments. Upper mid-market firms—those with revenue between $100 million and $1 billion—ranked their confidence at 6.89, while lower mid-market firms—those with revenue between $10 million and $100 million—had the highest rating of the four groups, with a 7.24 average rating (9.6% more confident than CEOs of large companies). Small companies (those with revenues under $10 million), meanwhile, rated their confidence in overall business conditions 12 months from now a 7.10.

January 2017 by Company Size


MORE LIKE THIS

  • Get the CEO Briefing

    Sign up today to get weekly access to the latest issues affecting CEOs in every industry
  • upcoming events

    Roundtable

    Strategic Planning Workshop

    1:00 - 5:00 pm

    Over 70% of Executives Surveyed Agree: Many Strategic Planning Efforts Lack Systematic Approach Tips for Enhancing Your Strategic Planning Process

    Executives expressed frustration with their current strategic planning process. Issues include:

    1. Lack of systematic approach (70%)
    2. Laundry lists without prioritization (68%)
    3. Decisions based on personalities rather than facts and information (65%)

     

    Steve Rutan and Denise Harrison have put together an afternoon workshop that will provide the tools you need to address these concerns.  They have worked with hundreds of executives to develop a systematic approach that will enable your team to make better decisions during strategic planning.  Steve and Denise will walk you through exercises for prioritizing your lists and steps that will reset and reinvigorate your process.  This will be a hands-on workshop that will enable you to think about your business as you use the tools that are being presented.  If you are ready for a Strategic Planning tune-up, select this workshop in your registration form.  The additional fee of $695 will be added to your total.

    To sign up, select this option in your registration form. Additional fee of $695 will be added to your total.

    New York, NY: ​​​Chief Executive's Corporate Citizenship Awards 2017

    Women in Leadership Seminar and Peer Discussion

    2:00 - 5:00 pm

    Female leaders face the same issues all leaders do, but they often face additional challenges too. In this peer session, we will facilitate a discussion of best practices and how to overcome common barriers to help women leaders be more effective within and outside their organizations. 

    Limited space available.

    To sign up, select this option in your registration form. Additional fee of $495 will be added to your total.

    Golf Outing

    10:30 - 5:00 pm
    General’s Retreat at Hermitage Golf Course
    Sponsored by UBS

    General’s Retreat, built in 1986 with architect Gary Roger Baird, has been voted the “Best Golf Course in Nashville” and is a “must play” when visiting the Nashville, Tennessee area. With the beautiful setting along the Cumberland River, golfers of all capabilities will thoroughly enjoy the golf, scenery and hospitality.

    The golf outing fee includes transportation to and from the hotel, greens/cart fees, use of practice facilities, and boxed lunch. The bus will leave the hotel at 10:30 am for a noon shotgun start and return to the hotel after the cocktail reception following the completion of the round.

    To sign up, select this option in your registration form. Additional fee of $295 will be added to your total.