Inflation has been at bay for the past couple years and so, price increases have been more routine than the levels we once saw in 2021 and 2022. Could tariffs change that? As trade becomes more complicated and regulatory compliance becomes more convoluted, companies may pass off these extra costs to the consumer. That is, at least, according to our most recent polling in March.
When polled in January, before the inauguration, while hopes were soaring high about a pro-business administration who would cut taxes and remove regulations to ease doing business, 84 percent of manufacturing companies were planning to or had increased prices, while 71 percent of companies in other industries did the same. On a more granular level, 32 percent of manufacturers each were electing to raise prices under 2.5 percent or between 2.5 and 4.9 percent.
When polled again at the start of March, right as the tariffs began to take hold, the proportion of companies in both manufacturing and other industries who elected to increase prices climbed to 91 percent (from 84 percent in January) and 76 percent (from 71 percent in January).
When looking at the proportion of companies who said they would increase prices at a rate of at least 7.5 percent, those jumped even more. In manufacturing in January, 0 percent of companies surveyed said they were increasing prices at a rate above 7.5 percent, but in March, that proportion shot up to 14 percent. In other industries, the increase was less drastic, likely due to less disruption from tariffs, from 8 to 12 percent.
In fact, three-quarters of companies in manufacturing reported that their suppliers or venders have imposed or informed them of a price increase for 2025—only 8 percent of manufacturers say that there will be no price increases from their suppliers/vendors. Looking at industries other than manufacturing, the majority also report price increases from their suppliers, at 58 percent.
Pricing increases by manufacturers may become a political minefield for CEOs. Before announcing the 25 percent tariff on all foreign autos and auto parts, President Trump reportedly warned the CEOs of U.S. automakers against raising their prices to cover the costs. “Trump told the executives that the White House would look unfavorably on such a move, leaving some of them rattled and worried they would face punishment if they increased prices,” according to The Wall Street Journal.
You can find a more comprehensive look at pricing throughout the year and additional breakdowns in Chief Executive’s 2024 Financial Performance Benchmarks Report, which offers you key benchmarks updates throughout the year—from revenue and pricing to working capital to profitability to employees staffing and turnover, and so much more.
Check it out at ChiefExecutive.net/BenchmarksReport/
About the CEO Confidence Index
Since 2002, Chief Executive Group has been polling hundreds of U.S. CEOs at organizations of all types and sizes, to compile our CEO Confidence Index data. The Index tracks confidence in current and future business environments, based on CEOs’ observations of various economic and business components. For additional information about the Index and prior months data, visit ChiefExecutive.net/category/CEO-Confidence-Index/