Technology

The Biggest AI Risk Is Automating The Wrong Company

The most dangerous thing a CEO can do with AI right now may be to move too quickly in the wrong direction. Boards and investors want roadmaps, use cases and proof of productivity. But copilots deployed, employees trained and pilots launched measure activity, not necessarily value creation.

A company can automate reporting without improving decisions or give every employee an AI assistant while preserving the same handoffs, approval layers and legacy workflows. It can make yesterday’s company faster, but it’s not the same thing as building tomorrow’s company.

The difference matters to boards and investors because an impressive adoption dashboard can conceal a weak investment thesis. Training thousands of employees may be worthwhile, but it does not show whether customers are better served, decisions improve or the company can grow without recreating the same organizational complexity. CEOs need those outcomes in view from the start.

Redesign the work, not just the task

Rather than asking, “What can AI help this employee do faster?” CEOs should be asking, “Why does this work exist in this form at all?” Too often, management teams begin with an existing process map, find labor-intensive steps and calculate hours saved. But too many processes were designed around constraints that no longer apply.

The gap is still large. The U.S. Census Bureau’s Business Trends and Outlook Survey found that 19.8 percent of U.S. businesses reported using AI in any business function as of May 2026. In my experience, genuine operating-model redesign is rarer still.

Consider planning. An employee may spend four hours assembling information before a decision can be made. AI could reduce that task to four minutes. But should the company still produce the same report on the same schedule? Perhaps information should be continuously available and the system should flag only exceptions requiring human judgment. That is workflow redesign, not task automation.

This calls for a different starting point. Instead of asking a function to submit a list of AI use cases, ask its leaders to identify recurring decisions, delays and handoffs that constrain performance. Then work backward to determine what information, technology and accountability are needed. Sometimes the right answer is fewer steps, not faster steps.

At a food and beverage manufacturer, voice AI agents now confirm each driver’s actual arrival time an hour before the truck arrives. A second agent releases warehouse waves only when needed. Early results show truck dwell time down 20 percent to 40 percent and spoilage in staging down 20 percent to 50 percent. The operation is organized around information it did not previously have.

Measure competitive capacity, not only savings

For private equity owners and corporate leaders, AI can easily become a familiar cost-reduction exercise: automate administrative work and book the savings. Cost opportunities are real, but the bigger question is what the enterprise can now accomplish that it could not do before.

For sponsors, that distinction should be reflected in the value creation plan. Labor savings can be counted, but so should the opportunity to recover lost sales, improve service or increase the volume a business can handle. An AI initiative deserves investment when the economic outcome is clear, not merely because the technology is available.

This is also the principle behind our Total Value Optimization (TVO) methodology: Value is created not by improving isolated activities, but by connecting decisions, processes and performance across the enterprise. AI raises the stakes by making it possible to redesign those connections rather than simply accelerate the work within them.

At one client’s call center, we used AI to analyze and test operations and found that long waits and frustrated customers were costing revenue. With AI built into the diagnosis and the solution, revenue improved 40 percent.

That changes how CEOs should evaluate AI investments. Look for opportunities to:

  • Accelerate growth by qualifying commercial opportunities faster and improving customer responsiveness.
  • Build resilience by identifying supply chain disruptions sooner and acting before competitors.
  • Increase throughput by improving frontline decisions without adding layers of reporting or overhead.

A food service buying group illustrates the difference. Years of member purchasing data were buried in manually processed invoices while members and vendors were leaving. Deep learning models converted more than 365,000 invoice line items into usable data in days. The real value came afterward: The group could demonstrate member savings, win business and negotiate from documented purchasing volume. Revenue grew 7 percent and profitability rose 20 percent the following year.

These examples also show why the metrics must follow the business problem. A faster invoice process is useful, but the buying group’s turnaround depended on recovering the commercial value of information trapped in those invoices.

Put judgment and accountability where they matter

Technology does not eliminate the need for leadership. The World Economic Forum’s Future of Jobs Report 2025 found that 86 percent of employers expect AI and information-processing technologies to transform their business by 2030, even as they continue to value analytical thinking, resilience and leadership.

Microsoft’s 2026 Work Trend Index similarly suggests that as agents take on more execution, people gain “more room to direct the work, make the calls and own the outcomes.” When information becomes cheaper, judgment becomes more valuable.

CEOs should decide which decisions can move closer to customers and frontline teams, which reporting layers mainly move information, and where human accountability must remain explicit. The employees who struggle with a broken process every week may be best placed to redesign it. Leadership must create room for experimentation while setting guardrails for data, cybersecurity, model validation and ownership of results.

That means assigning clear decision rights before deploying technology broadly. If an agent surfaces a supplier exception, who can change the plan? If a frontline team sees a customer problem earlier, who can act? Without answers, AI may produce better information that still waits in the same approval queue. Speed of insight only matters when it changes action.

Five questions before the next AI investment

Before approving another major initiative, CEOs and operating partners should ask:

  1. If we were building this company today, would we design this process the same way?
  2. Are we automating work because it creates value, or simply because it already exists?
  3. Where could AI increase revenue, responsiveness or competitive capacity, rather than only reduce labor?
  4. Which decisions could move closer to customers, suppliers and frontline operations if information were instantly available?
  5. If our AI tools disappeared tomorrow, would our operating model stop working, or would people just work more slowly?

These questions make AI a capital allocation decision, not merely a technology decision. Every dollar spent automating an obsolete workflow is a dollar unavailable to build a better business. The greatest risk is adopting AI enthusiastically and discovering three years from now that all we have built is a faster version of a company that still needed to change.

Start with the business outcome, redesign the workflow and make someone accountable for results.

Joseph Esteves

Joseph Esteves, CEO of Maine Pointe, a company of SGS, has more than 15 years of experience advising private equity sponsors, middle-market companies, and Fortune 500 corporations. His leadership focuses on driving transformational results across the global supply chain and operations landscape.

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Joseph Esteves

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